Sustainable Future Scenarios 2060
Community, municipal, and regional decision-makers from across the Phoenix region co-developed scenarios to explore alternative futures for the Phoenix metro region that address challenges like extreme heat, drought, and flood.
The Central Arizona–Phoenix Long-Term Ecological Research (CAP LTER) Sustainable Future Scenarios project co-developed seven unique scenarios to address long-term challenges for the Central Arizona-Phoenix area and increase regional capacity to meet those challenges. The scenarios developed included one strategic scenario based on existing governance documents and institutional plans, three co-produced adaptive scenarios, and three co-produced transformative scenarios. The six co-produced scenarios were developed through participatory workshops held from December 2014 through January 2017; participants included stakeholders from a variety of area governing agencies, non-governmental organizations, and academic institutions. Synthetic outputs of the workshops include multi-criteria evaluations of the projected scenario outcomes, renderings, and narratives.
Iwaniec, D. M., M. J. Davidson, E. M. Cook, M. Berbés-Blázquez and N. B. Grimm. 2020. Integrating existing climate adaptation planning into future visions: a strategic scenario for the central Arizona–Phoenix region. Landscape and Urban Planning 200(Aug):103820. DOI: 10.1016/j.landurbplan.2020.103820.
Iwaniec, D. M., E. M. Cook, M. J. Davidson, M. Berbés-Blázquez, M. Georgescu, E. S. Krayenhoff, A. Middel, D. A. Sampson and N. B. Grimm. 2020. The co-production of sustainable future scenarios. Landscape and Urban Planning 197:103744. DOI: 10.1016/j.landurbplan.2020.103744.