Scenarios in the wet tropics of Australia
Scenarios were used in local-scale community-based natural resource management at Mission Beach, a key site of high biodiversity values in the Wet Tropics bioregion of north-east Queensland. We focused on the capacity of scenarios to address the issues of contested interests and uncertainty, aiming specifically to engage the community to build a cohesive vision.
The agreed purpose of the scenarios was to support a comprehensive community engagement strategy that would: (1) provide opportunities for people to say what they want and influence decisions; (2) ensure the wider community is informed about the planning exercise; and (3) develop a strong community vision that would attract wider interest and support. Four scenarios were mapped out originally, but the community requested that only one be fully developed - the Business as Usual, directing us to a threat-based approach. We used back-casting to help with fore-casting of trends.
Pert, P.L., R. Hill, K.J. Williams, E.K. Harding, T. O'Malley, R.A. Grace, A.P. Dale, I. Bohnet, and J.R.A. Butler. 2010. "Scenarios for community-based approaches to biodiversity conservation: A Case Study from the Wet Tropics, Queensland, Australia." Australian Geographer 41 (3):285-306
Hill, Rosemary, O'Malley, Tony, Grace, Rowena, Williams, Kristen, Pert, Petina, and Jenkins, Suzanne (2010) Mission Beach Habitat Network Action Plan. Report. CSIRO and Terrain NRM, Cairns, QLD, Australia.