Climate Change Urban Resilience Scenarios in San Juan
San Juan, which contends with complex challenges like fiscal crisis, high unemployment, severe droughts, and urban floods, co-produced six future scenarios for San Juan in 2080.
The Urban Resilience to Extremes Sustainability Research Network (UREx SRN) co-developed six future scenarios: adaptive scenarios to extreme flood events and transformative scenarios for the desired future of San Juan. Approximately 51 San Juan stakeholders, including practitioners, government representatives, and academics, worked together to define goals, strategies, and timelines to achieve the futures in each scenario. Synthetic outputs included future land use modeling, renderings, narratives, and qualitative resilience assessment. Later that year, hurricanes Irma and María hit Puerto Rico, and the scenarios developed were evaluated and refined in subsequent workshops using the insights on resilience and vulnerability highlighted by that hurricane season.
Urban Resilience to Extremes Sustainability Research Network (UREx SRN). (2017). Climate Change Urban Resilience Scenarios in San Juan: Workshop Report.
Urban Resilience to Extremes Sustainability Research Network (UREx SRN). (2017). Escenarios de Resiliencia Urbana al Cambio Climático en San Juan: Reporte de Taller.
Hamstead, Z., Iwaniec, D.M., McPhearson, T., Berbés-Blázquez, M., Cook, E.M., & Muñoz-Erickson, T.A. (Eds.). (2021). Resilient Urban Futures. Springer-Nature, DOI: 10.1007/978-3-030-63131-4