Climate change impacts and implications in New Zealand: a lowland case study
The “Climate Changes, Impacts and Implications” (CCII) project was a 4-year project (2012 – 2016) designed to address the following question: What are the predicted climatic conditions and assessed/potential impacts and implications of climate variability and trends on New Zealand and its regional biophysical environment, the economy and society, at projected critical temporal steps up to 2100? The project was based on five inter-related Research Aims (RAs) to understand impacts and implications of climate change for New Zealand’s environment, economy and society
This case study presents the results of one of five case studies from the CCII project, the lowland case study. It was established to explore climate change impacts on primary productivity, the resulting land use changes and social impacts and changes in ecosystem services. Scenarios were built using the SPA (shared policy assumptions), SSP (shared socio-economic pathways) and RCP (representative concentration pathways) framework with the aim to downscale global pathways to local scale, mixing quantitative and qualitative information.
The scenarios were made in:
The scenarios look out to:
Frame B, Lawrence J, Ausseil AG, Reisinger A, Daigneault A (2018). Adapting global shared socio-economic pathways for national and local scenarios. Climate Risk Management.
Ausseil AGE, Bodmin K, Daigneault A, Teixeira E, Keller ED, Baisden T, Kirschbaum MUF, Timar L, Dunningham A, Zammit C, Stephens, S, Bell R, Cameron M, Blackett P, Harmsworth G, Frame B, Reisinger A, Tait A, Rutledge D (2017) Climate Change Impacts and Implications for New Zealand to 2100: Synthesis report RA2 lowland case study. Synthesis Report LC2714. Climate Change Impacts and Implications for New Zealand to 2100. MBIE contract C01X1225, Wellington: 60p.
Ausseil A-GE, Daigneault A, Frame B, Teixeira E. Towards an integrated assessment of climate and socio-economic change impacts and implications in New Zealand. (2019) Environmental Modelling and Software, 119:1-20.