Social-ecological scenarios for the Eastern Cape 2012 - 2050

The aim of this study was to develop a better understanding of the dynamics of change in the Eastern Cape, a South African province characterized by high levels of poverty and biodiversity. A scenario planning workshop was held to foster collaboration between researchers and conservation/development practitioners working in the region.

A timeline exercise helped build a common understanding of important historical events, and four scenarios were created along two major axes of uncertainty: the effectiveness of government, and the vibrancy of the rural economy. Insights from this scenario planning process were captured in a report, and fed into a larger project on “Governance of ecosystem services under scenarios of change in southern and eastern Africa” funded by the Swedish International Development Agency (SIDA), and run by the Stockholm Resilience Centre in Sweden, in collaboration with the Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services group at the CSIR in South Africa and the Department of Organizational Sciences at the VU University in Amsterdam, The Netherlands.

The main purpose of the scenario exercise was to provide a collaborative platform for co-learning to deepen participants' understanding of the region and strengthen links amongst researchers and practitioners. Feedback indicated that the workshop achieved these aims, and that participants found the process enjoyable, creative and useful.

The scenarios were made in:

The scenarios look out to:

2012

2050

Project facts

South Africa

Eastern Cape Province

2012

Submitted by:

Maike Hamann

Project member

23 september 2019

How to cite this page:

Maike Hamann

Social-ecological scenarios for the Eastern Cape 2012 - 2050

Resources

Hamann, M., V. Masterson, R. Biggs, M. Tengö, B. Reyers, L. Dziba, M. Spierenburg. 2012. Socialecological scenarios for the Eastern Cape Province, South Africa 2012-2050. Stockholm Resilience
Centre, Sweden.

Project images

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Maike Hamann

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Maike Hamann

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