Contextualizing scenarios to explore social-ecological futures: A participatory case study for the Humboldt Current Upwelling System

The work consisted in the identification of drivers of change for the Humboldt Upwelling System and the creation of multiscale participatory scenario narratives bringing in dialogue different stakeholders interests, knowledge and concerns.

The goals were:
1. To contribute to the body of knowledge on participatory scenarios for marine social-ecological systems which is more limited than for terrestrial SES.
2. To contribute to scale down (localize) future scenarios.
3.To increase our knowledge on the drivers of change shaping the future of the Peruvian Marine social-ecological systems tied to the Humboldt Current Upwelling System.
4. To inform modelers from the Humboldt Tipping Project (https://humboldt-tipping.org/en).

This multi-step participatory method allowed stakeholders to generate narratives of the future through a collaborative process, collecting and acknowledging multiple perspectives. Diverse positions of local actors were highlighted, concerning political dynamics as well as broader issues of knowledge production. Notably, different interpretations of sustainability were articulated – ranging from a technocratic understanding paired with a neo-liberal economic vision to transformative approaches that embrace localized political, economic, and ecological alternatives. Moreover, the engagement with local and regional actors brought trade-offs to the fore regarding the capacity to adapt and the role accorded to technological development.

The scenarios were made in:

The scenarios look out to:

2019

2039

Project facts

Peru

Pisco (Ica Region)

2019

Submitted by:

María Garteizgogeascoa

Project member

28 juli 2021

How to cite this page:

María Garteizgogeascoa

Contextualizing scenarios to explore social-ecological futures: A participatory case study for the Humboldt Current Upwelling System

Resources

Garteizgogeascoa M, Kluger LC, Gonzales IE, Damonte G and Flitner M (2020) Contextualizing Scenarios to Explore Social-Ecological Futures: A Three Step Participatory Case Study for the Humboldt Current Upwelling System. Front. Mar. Sci. 7:557181.

Project images

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Lotta C. Kluger

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Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) 
Main ecosystems 
Scale